Rating
Iceland risk rating
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-14 05:34:34 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-14 07:34:34 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 23/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- AtoAindex 8 → 7Orange → Yellow37m agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Severe weather warning — South Iceland, Iceland (CalamityScore 23); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.6 → 4.6population component 1.3 → 0.0forecast component 18.0 → 31.5
Operational status changed from orange to yellow. Current dominant event: Severe weather warning — South Iceland, Iceland (CalamityScore 23); cause of change not attributed. severity component 11.6 → 4.6. population component 1.3 → 0.0. forecast component 18.0 → 31.5. Context: EVENT: Severe weather warning — South Iceland, Iceland — IS Detected: 2026-10-14T05:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 23/100 Severity: high CONTEXT: Country: IS. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoAindex 10 → 10Yellow → Green74d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 194) (CalamityScore 26)
- AtoAindex 9 → 9Yellow → Green177d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenUnhealthy Air Quality (AQI 156) (CalamityScore 26)
- AtoAindex 9 → 9Green → Yellow177d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowVery Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 225) (CalamityScore 26)