Rating
Estonia risk rating
Expired, last assessment only · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-12 22:36:37 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-13 00:36:37 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
This is a last assessment, not a current rating. Its validity has expired or was not recorded. That does not establish that no events or hazards are present.
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 30/100 · Eligible records: 4
Rating history
- CtoBindex 46 → 341d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 46 → 34)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Western Gulf of Finland, Estonia (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 48.0 → 23.6population component 100.0 → 93.6forecast component 43.5 → 37.5
Country rating changed from C to B (score 46 → 34). Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Western Gulf of Finland, Estonia (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributed. severity component 48.0 → 23.6. population component 100.0 → 93.6. forecast component 43.5 → 37.5. Context: EVENT: Moderate weather warning — Western Gulf of Finland, Estonia — EE Detected: 2026-10-12T11:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 37/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 450,076 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: EE. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- CtoCindex 58 → 461d agoActivity score changed from 58 to 46Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Port of Tallinn, Estonia (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 77.6 → 48.0forecast component 48.0 → 43.5
- AtoCindex 15 → 58Green → Yellow1d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 15 → 58)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Port of Tallinn, Estonia (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 77.6population component 14.9 → 100.0forecast component 36.0 → 48.0
- AtoAindex 8 → 157d agoActivity score changed from 8 to 15Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.6 → 17.6population component 4.0 → 14.9forecast component 31.5 → 36.0
- AtoAindex 15 → 87d agoActivity score changed from 15 to 8Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Pärnu, Estonia (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 5.6population component 14.9 → 4.0forecast component 36.0 → 31.5
- AtoAindex 9 → 1511d agoActivity score changed from 9 to 15Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 6.4 → 17.6population component 9.1 → 14.9forecast component 31.5 → 36.0
- AtoAindex 16 → 912d agoActivity score changed from 16 to 9Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 6.4population component 14.9 → 9.1forecast component 40.5 → 31.5
- AtoAindex 18 → 16Yellow → Green13d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.2 → 17.6
- AtoAindex 8 → 18Green → Yellow14d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 21.2population component 0.0 → 14.9forecast component 42.0 → 40.5
- AtoAindex 16 → 814d agoActivity score changed from 16 to 8Current dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 3.6population component 14.9 → 0.0forecast component 40.5 → 42.0
- AtoAindex 10 → 1615d agoActivity score changed from 10 to 16Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 6.4 → 17.6population component 9.1 → 14.9forecast component 36.0 → 40.5
- AtoAindex 16 → 1018d agoActivity score changed from 16 to 10Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 6.4population component 14.9 → 9.1forecast component 40.5 → 36.0
- AtoAindex 10 → 1619d agoActivity score changed from 10 to 16Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 6.4 → 17.6population component 9.1 → 14.9forecast component 36.0 → 40.5
- AtoAindex 16 → 1019d agoActivity score changed from 16 to 10Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 6.4population component 14.9 → 9.1forecast component 40.5 → 36.0
- AtoAindex 11 → 1619d agoActivity score changed from 11 to 16Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.2 → 17.6population component 5.8 → 14.9forecast component 37.5 → 40.5
- AtoAindex 16 → 1119d agoActivity score changed from 16 to 11Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Viljandi, Estonia (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 11.2population component 14.9 → 5.8forecast component 40.5 → 37.5
- AtoAindex 9 → 1622d agoActivity score changed from 9 to 16Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.6 → 17.6population component 4.0 → 14.9forecast component 37.5 → 40.5
- AtoAindex 16 → 923d agoActivity score changed from 16 to 9Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Pärnu, Estonia (CalamityScore 28); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 5.6population component 14.9 → 4.0forecast component 40.5 → 37.5
- BtoAindex 23 → 1633d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 23 → 16)Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32)
- BtoAindex 22 → 1938d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 19)Moderate weather warning — Tartu, Estonia (CalamityScore 32)