Rating
Germany risk rating
Activity gradeAindex 17.0/100
Operational statusGreen
Last updated8m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-13 18:03:41 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-13 20:03:41 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity7.4/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI38.9/100
CFI activity proxy45.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Weather
Mean event index: 37/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- BtoAindex 22 → 171h agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 17)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Kreis Harz - Bergland (Oberharz), Germany (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.2 → 7.4population component 35.6 → 38.9
Country rating changed from B to A (score 22 → 17). Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Kreis Harz - Bergland (Oberharz), Germany (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributed. severity component 21.2 → 7.4. population component 35.6 → 38.9. Context: EVENT: Moderate weather warning — Kreis Harz - Bergland (Oberharz), Germany — DE Detected: 2026-10-13T16:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 37/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 388,945 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: DE. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoBindex 31 → 226h agoActivity score changed from 31 to 22Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Kreis Dithmarschen - Küste, Germany (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.4 → 21.2population component 100.0 → 35.6forecast component 42.0 → 45.0
- AtoBindex 20 → 311d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 31)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 11.4population component 50.3 → 100.0forecast component 45.0 → 42.0
- CtoAindex 47 → 20Yellow → Green2d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 47 → 20)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Official WARNING of GALE-FORCE GUSTS (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 51.4 → 8.2population component 100.0 → 50.3
- CtoCindex 57 → 472d agoActivity score changed from 57 to 47Current dominant event: Official WARNING of HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 76.0 → 51.4
- DtoCindex 67 → 572d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 67 → 57)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Hannover, Germany (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 76.0forecast component 46.5 → 45.0
- CtoDindex 55 → 672d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 55 → 67)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Hannover, Germany (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 69.8 → 100.0forecast component 45.0 → 46.5
- BtoCindex 36 → 55Green → Yellow2d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 36 → 55)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Rendsburg, Germany (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.8 → 69.8
- BtoBindex 25 → 362d agoActivity score changed from 25 to 36Current dominant event: Minor weather warning — Cloppenburg, Germany (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.6 → 23.8population component 61.5 → 100.0
- BtoBindex 33 → 252d agoActivity score changed from 33 to 25Current dominant event: Official WARNING of GALE-FORCE GUSTS (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.4 → 15.6population component 100.0 → 61.5
- AtoBindex 20 → 332d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 33)Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Rendsburg, Germany (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 16.4population component 50.3 → 100.0
- BtoAindex 28 → 202d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 28 → 20)Current dominant event: Official WARNING of STORM-FORCE GUSTS (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.6 → 8.2population component 75.3 → 50.3
- BtoBindex 39 → 28Yellow → Green2d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Official WARNING of STORM-FORCE GUSTS (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.2 → 15.6population component 100.0 → 75.3
- BtoBindex 33 → 39Green → Yellow2d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Rendsburg, Germany (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.4 → 31.2
- AtoBindex 20 → 332d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 33)Current dominant event: Minor weather warning — Bremerhaven, Germany (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 16.4population component 50.3 → 100.0
- BtoAindex 33 → 202d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 33 → 20)Current dominant event: Official WARNING of STORM-FORCE GUSTS (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.4 → 8.2population component 100.0 → 50.3
- BtoBindex 39 → 33Yellow → Green2d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Official WARNING of STORM-FORCE GUSTS (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.2 → 16.4
- AtoBindex 20 → 39Green → Yellow2d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 39)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Official WARNING of STORM-FORCE GUSTS (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 31.2population component 50.3 → 100.0
- BtoAindex 36 → 202d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 36 → 20)Current dominant event: Official WARNING of STORM-FORCE GUSTS (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.8 → 8.2population component 100.0 → 50.3
- BtoBindex 39 → 36Yellow → Green2d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Official WARNING of STORM-FORCE GUSTS (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.2 → 23.8