Rating
Bosnia and Herzegovina risk rating
Activity gradeAindex 11.0/100
Operational statusGreen
Last updated31m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-15 00:13:48 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-15 02:13:48 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity7.4/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI13.8/100
CFI activity proxy33.0/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Weather
Mean event index: 37/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- BtoAindex 21 → 11Yellow → Green19h agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 11)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Trebinje, Bosnia and Herzegovina (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 23.6 → 7.4population component 30.0 → 13.8forecast component 37.5 → 33.0
Country rating changed from B to A (score 21 → 11). Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Trebinje, Bosnia and Herzegovina (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributed. severity component 23.6 → 7.4. population component 30.0 → 13.8. forecast component 37.5 → 33.0. Context: EVENT: Moderate weather warning — Trebinje, Bosnia and Herzegovina — BA Detected: 2026-10-13T22:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 37/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 137,848 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: BA. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoBindex 11 → 21Green → Yellow2d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 11 → 21)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Trebinje, Bosnia and Herzegovina (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.4 → 23.6population component 13.8 → 30.0forecast component 33.0 → 37.5
- BtoAindex 30 → 11Yellow → Green4d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 30 → 11)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Trebinje, Bosnia and Herzegovina (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 29.6 → 7.4population component 64.8 → 13.8forecast component 37.5 → 33.0
- AtoBindex 16 → 30Green → Yellow5d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 30)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.8 → 29.6population component 25.8 → 64.8forecast component 33.0 → 37.5
- AtoAindex 10 → 166d agoActivity score changed from 10 to 16Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Mostar, Bosnia and Herzegovina (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.4 → 14.8population component 12.0 → 25.8
- AtoAindex 16 → 106d agoActivity score changed from 16 to 10Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Mostar, Bosnia and Herzegovina (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.8 → 7.4population component 25.8 → 12.0
- AtoAindex 11 → 166d agoActivity score changed from 11 to 16Current dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Mostar, Bosnia and Herzegovina (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.4 → 14.8population component 13.8 → 25.8forecast component 34.5 → 33.0
- BtoAindex 30 → 11Yellow → Green6d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 30 → 11)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Trebinje, Bosnia and Herzegovina (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 29.6 → 7.4population component 64.8 → 13.8forecast component 37.5 → 34.5
- BtoBindex 24 → 30Green → Yellow6d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Trebinje, Bosnia and Herzegovina (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.2 → 29.6population component 51.0 → 64.8forecast component 34.5 → 37.5
- BtoBindex 28 → 24Yellow → Green7d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate weather warning — Bihać, Bosnia and Herzegovina (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.8 → 22.2forecast component 39.0 → 34.5
- AtoBindex 6 → 28Green → Yellow7d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 6 → 28)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 30.8population component 1.2 → 51.0forecast component 18.0 → 39.0
- AtoAindex 13 → 6Yellow → Green10d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 159) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.0 → 8.2population component 10.3 → 1.2forecast component 30.8 → 18.0
- AtoAindex 11 → 13Orange → Yellow11d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 152) (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.2 → 17.0population component 0.1 → 10.3
- AtoAindex 9 → 11Yellow → Orange11d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Hazardous Air Quality (AQI 816) (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.0 → 16.2population component 0.2 → 0.1forecast component 43.5 → 30.8
- AtoAindex 8 → 9Green → Yellow11d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Large Wildfire (CalamityScore 35); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 7.0population component 0.0 → 0.2
- AtoAindex 10 → 8Yellow → Green11d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.2 → 3.6population component 1.2 → 0.0forecast component 30.8 → 43.5
- AtoAindex 8 → 10Green → Yellow11d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Very Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 231) (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 3.6 → 13.2population component 0.0 → 1.2forecast component 43.5 → 30.8
- AtoAindex 11 → 8Yellow → Green12d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.6 → 3.6forecast component 30.8 → 43.5
- AtoAindex 11 → 11Green → Yellow12d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 153) (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.8 → 16.6forecast component 43.5 → 30.8
- AtoAindex 11 → 11Yellow → Green12d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.6 → 10.8forecast component 30.8 → 43.5