Forecast

Nicaragua risk assessment

Max CFI scoreNot assessedNo current assessment

6 of 6 hazard scores have expired or lack recorded validity and are shown only as last assessments, excluded from the current maximum and colours. Missing or expired coverage does not establish zero hazard.

The CFI is a heuristic activity and scenario index. The activity rating aggregates reported events and shares inputs with CFI. Neither is a calibrated probability or a measure of structural vulnerability. Unlisted country–hazard pairs are unassessed, not zero. Model cards and formulas.

Risk assessment by hazard type

Calamity Forecast Index for Nicaragua by hazard
HazardScoreLevel
Fire54Unassessed, last elevated
Earthquake31Unassessed, last moderate
Flood30Unassessed, last moderate
Cyclone23Unassessed, last moderate
Drought13Unassessed, last low
Volcano9Unassessed, last low

Firerecorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-09-11 23:56:16 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency
100.0/100
Global seasonal prior
100.0/100
Recent activity ratio
61.0/100
Media attention level
0.0/100

Earthquakerecorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-09-12 16:11:24 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency
60.0/100
Global seasonal prior
30.0/100
Recent activity ratio
67.0/100
Media attention level
0.0/100

Floodrecorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-08-03 15:18:21 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency
10.0/100
Global seasonal prior
100.0/100
Recent activity ratio
50.0/100
Media attention level
0.0/100

Cyclonerecorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-06-10 00:55:39 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency
10.0/100
Global seasonal prior
67.0/100
Recent activity ratio
50.0/100
Media attention level
0.0/100

Droughtrecorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-08-13 06:36:31 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency
10.0/100
Global seasonal prior
17.0/100
Recent activity ratio
50.0/100
Media attention level
0.0/100

Volcanorecorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-09-10 12:55:31 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency
10.0/100
Global seasonal prior
30.0/100
Recent activity ratio
0.0/100
Media attention level
0.0/100