🇹🇿 Tanzania Risk Rating
Activity grade
Dindex 70.0/100
Operational Status
Last Updated
25m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-09-16 21:40:33 UTC · Valid until: 2026-09-16 23:40:33 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating Components
Summed event intensity
100.0/100
Scenario weight
0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI
100.0/100
CFI activity proxy
67.5/100
Recorded hazard contributions
fire
Mean event index: 35/100 · Eligible records: 124
Rating History
Activity score changed from 62 to 70. Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributed. population component 61.6 → 100.0. forecast component 67.5 → 69.0. Context: EVENT: Major Wildfire — TZ Detected: 2026-09-15T11:08:00.000Z CalamityScore: 64/100 Severity: critical URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 123,253 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area HISTORICAL CONTEXT: This is a significant fire event requiring immediate attention. Location: TZ region. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.