↑C → B · index 45 → 22
1h ago Country rating changed from C to B (score 45 → 22)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributedseverity component 70.6 → 31.4population component 42.1 → 7.1
Country rating changed from C to B (score 45 → 22). Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 48); cause of change not attributed. severity component 70.6 → 31.4. population component 42.1 → 7.1. Context: EVENT: Major Wildfire — SY
Detected: 2026-09-16T11:02:00.000Z
CalamityScore: 48/100
Severity: critical
URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 37,554 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area
HISTORICAL CONTEXT:
This is a significant fire event requiring immediate attention. Location: SY region.
Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders.
No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
↓B → C · index 35 → 45
12h ago Country rating changed from B to C (score 35 → 45)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 45.8 → 70.6population component 41.8 → 42.1
↔B → B · index 27 → 35
23h ago Activity score changed from 27 to 35Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.0 → 45.8population component 34.0 → 41.8
↔B → B · index 34 → 27
1d ago Activity score changed from 34 to 27Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 50.0 → 30.0population component 31.1 → 34.0
↑C → B · index 60 → 34
1d ago Country rating changed from C to B (score 60 → 34)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 51.6 → 50.0cascade component 100.0 → 0.0population component 31.2 → 31.1
↓B → C · index 30 → 60
1d ago Country rating changed from B to C (score 30 → 60)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 81); cause of change not attributed3 new cascade alert(s)severity component 43.8 → 51.6cascade component 0.0 → 100.0population component 21.7 → 31.2
↔B → B · index 24 → 30
1d ago Activity score changed from 24 to 30Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 33.2 → 43.8population component 15.3 → 21.7
↔B → B · index 23 → 24(orange → red)
1d ago Operational status changed from orange to redCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.6 → 33.2population component 13.4 → 15.3
↔B → B · index 39 → 23(red → orange)
2d ago Operational status changed from red to orangeCurrent dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedseverity component 63.6 → 30.6population component 26.8 → 13.4
↔B → B · index 33 → 39
2d ago Activity score changed from 33 to 39Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.8 → 63.6population component 13.8 → 26.8
↔B → B · index 29 → 30(orange → red)
2d ago Operational status changed from orange to redMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 44)
↑C → B · index 47 → 29(red → orange)
3d ago Country rating changed from C to B (score 47 → 29)Operational status changed from red to orangeMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 44)
↓B → C · index 38 → 42
3d ago Country rating changed from B to C (score 38 → 42)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 53)
↓B → C · index 40 → 57
4d ago Country rating changed from B to C (score 40 → 57)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64)
↑C → B · index 48 → 30
5d ago Country rating changed from C to B (score 48 → 30)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57)
↑D → C · index 62 → 48
5d ago Country rating changed from D to C (score 62 → 48)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64)
↓C → D · index 51 → 62
5d ago Country rating changed from C to D (score 51 → 62)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64)
↑C → B · index 49 → 35
6d ago Country rating changed from C to B (score 49 → 35)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 64)
↓B → C · index 26 → 49
6d ago Country rating changed from B to C (score 26 → 49)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 59)
↔B → B · index 21 → 22(orange → red)
7d ago Operational status changed from orange to redMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 53)
