Rating
Iraq risk rating
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-09-24 14:22:06 UTC · Valid until: 2026-09-24 16:22:06 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 38/100 · Eligible records: 26
Rating history
- EtoDindex 94 → 698d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 94 → 69)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributedcascade component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 60.8 → 61.5
Country rating changed from E to D (score 94 → 69). Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributed. cascade component 100.0 → 0.0. forecast component 60.8 → 61.5. Context: EVENT: Major Wildfire — IQ Detected: 2026-09-15T10:36:00.000Z CalamityScore: 68/100 Severity: critical URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 664,653 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area HISTORICAL CONTEXT: This is a significant fire event requiring immediate attention. Location: IQ region. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoEindex 69 → 948d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 69 → 94)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 81); cause of change not attributed13 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 100.0forecast component 61.5 → 60.8
- EtoDindex 98 → 7019d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 98 → 70)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 68)
- DtoEindex 70 → 9819d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 70 → 98)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 81)2 new cascade alert(s)
- DtoCindex 70 → 5719d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 70 → 57)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 68)
- DtoEindex 70 → 9525d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 70 → 95)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 86)3 new cascade alert(s)
- DtoEindex 70 → 9525d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 70 → 95)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 86)12 new cascade alert(s)
- DtoAindex 67 → 7Red → Green25d agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 67 → 7)Operational status changed from red to greenM 4.6 Earthquake (CalamityScore 5)
- DtoAindex 67 → 7Red → Green25d agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 67 → 7)Operational status changed from red to greenM 4.4 Earthquake (CalamityScore 4)
- AtoDindex 4 → 64Green → Red26d agoCountry rating changed from A to D (score 4 → 64)Operational status changed from green to redMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 62)
- DtoAindex 67 → 7Red → Green26d agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 67 → 7)Operational status changed from red to greenM 4.4 Earthquake (CalamityScore 4)
- DtoAindex 67 → 7Red → Green26d agoCountry rating changed from D to A (score 67 → 7)Operational status changed from red to greenM 4.4 Earthquake (CalamityScore 4)
- AtoDindex 4 → 64Green → Red26d agoCountry rating changed from A to D (score 4 → 64)Operational status changed from green to redMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 62)
- DtoEindex 70 → 9526d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 70 → 95)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 86)7 new cascade alert(s)
- EtoDindex 81 → 7526d agoCountry rating changed from E to D (score 81 → 75)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 62)
- DtoEindex 70 → 81Orange → Red27d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 70 → 81)Operational status changed from orange to redMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 76)1 new cascade alert(s)
- DtoEindex 70 → 8327d agoCountry rating changed from D to E (score 70 → 83)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 67)5 new cascade alert(s)
- DtoDindex 70 → 63Red → Orange27d agoOperational status changed from red to orangeMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 67)1 new cascade alert(s)
- CtoDindex 59 → 70Orange → Red27d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 59 → 70)Operational status changed from orange to redMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 53)
- CtoDindex 59 → 70Orange → Red27d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 59 → 70)Operational status changed from orange to redMajor Wildfire (CalamityScore 53)