↔C → C · index 51 → 57
1h ago Activity score changed from 51 to 57Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 51.6 → 59.6cascade component 90.0 → 100.0population component 0.0 → 0.1forecast component 49.5 → 54.0
Activity score changed from 51 to 57. Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed. 1 new cascade alert(s). severity component 51.6 → 59.6. cascade component 90.0 → 100.0. population component 0.0 → 0.1. forecast component 49.5 → 54.0. Context: EVENT: Major Wildfire — BW
Detected: 2026-09-16T23:39:00.000Z
CalamityScore: 57/100
Severity: high
HISTORICAL CONTEXT:
This is a notable fire event with potential for substantial impact. Location: BW region.
Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders.
No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
↔C → C · index 58 → 51
2h ago Activity score changed from 58 to 51Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 68.0 → 51.6population component 5.6 → 0.0forecast component 50.3 → 49.5
↔C → C · index 50 → 58
12h ago Activity score changed from 50 to 58Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 47.6 → 68.0population component 3.7 → 5.6forecast component 49.5 → 50.3
↓B → C · index 39 → 50
1d ago Country rating changed from B to C (score 39 → 50)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 50); cause of change not attributed2 new cascade alert(s)severity component 73.0 → 47.6cascade component 0.0 → 90.0population component 7.1 → 3.7forecast component 55.5 → 49.5
↑D → B · index 67 → 39
1d ago Country rating changed from D to B (score 67 → 39)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 81.4 → 73.0cascade component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 54.8 → 55.5
↓C → D · index 57 → 67
1d ago Country rating changed from C to D (score 57 → 67)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 64.2 → 81.4cascade component 90.0 → 100.0population component 6.4 → 7.1forecast component 48.8 → 54.8
↔C → C · index 48 → 57
1d ago Activity score changed from 48 to 57Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 56.0 → 64.2cascade component 70.0 → 90.0population component 6.1 → 6.4forecast component 48.0 → 48.8
↔C → C · index 54 → 48
1d ago Activity score changed from 54 to 48Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 57.2 → 56.0cascade component 90.0 → 70.0population component 5.0 → 6.1forecast component 48.8 → 48.0
↑D → C · index 74 → 54
2d ago Country rating changed from D to C (score 74 → 54)Current dominant event: Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 57.2cascade component 100.0 → 90.0population component 2.5 → 5.0forecast component 54.8 → 48.8
↓D → E · index 78 → 81
3d ago Country rating changed from D to E (score 78 → 81)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57)1 new cascade alert(s)
↑E → D · index 81 → 78
3d ago Country rating changed from E to D (score 81 → 78)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57)
↓D → E · index 80 → 81
3d ago Country rating changed from D to E (score 80 → 81)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57)
↓D → E · index 78 → 81
4d ago Country rating changed from D to E (score 78 → 81)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57)1 new cascade alert(s)
↓C → D · index 59 → 64
6d ago Country rating changed from C to D (score 59 → 64)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 57)1 new cascade alert(s)
↑D → C · index 73 → 59
6d ago Country rating changed from D to C (score 73 → 59)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 50)
↓B → D · index 30 → 73
6d ago Country rating changed from B to D (score 30 → 73)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 50)3 new cascade alert(s)
↑D → B · index 73 → 30
6d ago Country rating changed from D to B (score 73 → 30)Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 27)
↓B → D · index 25 → 73
6d ago Country rating changed from B to D (score 25 → 73)Major Wildfire (CalamityScore 50)3 new cascade alert(s)
↓A → B · index 20 → 23(yellow → orange)
7d ago Country rating changed from A to B (score 20 → 23)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 39)
↑C → A · index 47 → 19(orange → yellow)
8d ago Country rating changed from C to A (score 47 → 19)Operational status changed from orange to yellowLarge Wildfire (CalamityScore 39)
