Calamity

🇫🇷 France Risk Assessment

Max CFI Score

33

moderate

Activity Rating

B

score 25.0

Operational Status

red

5 of 7 hazard scores have expired or lack recorded validity and are shown only as last assessments, excluded from the current maximum and colours. Missing or expired coverage does not establish zero hazard.

The CFI is a heuristic activity and scenario index. The activity rating aggregates reported events and shares inputs with CFI. Neither is a calibrated probability or a measure of structural vulnerability. Unlisted country–hazard pairs are unassessed, not zero. Model cards and formulas.

Risk Assessment by Hazard Type

HazardScoreLevel
weather42unassessed · last elevated
fire33moderate
avalanche30unassessed · last moderate
flood30unassessed · last moderate
disease16unassessed · last low
earthquake16unassessed · last low
air quality14low

weather: recorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-09-08 22:10:30 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight:
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency:
100.0/100
Global seasonal prior:
83.0/100
Recent activity ratio:
0.0/100
Media attention level:
0.0/100

fire: recorded inputs

Current assessment · Model cfi-2

Computed: 2026-09-17 17:00:19 UTC · Valid until: 2026-09-17 19:00:19 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

baseline:
reporting days only
reporting Days:
77
seasonal:
global prior
selection:
top 100 countries by current records
frequency Unit:
episode records per reporting day

Observed activity: 33 · Target scenario weight: 0 · Target location: not determined; source country is a reference, not a target boundary

Target scenario weight:
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency:
50.0/100
Global seasonal prior:
100.0/100
Recent activity ratio:
0.0/100
Media attention level:
0.0/100

avalanche: recorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-03-25 11:11:18 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight:
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency:
10.0/100
Global seasonal prior:
100.0/100
Recent activity ratio:
50.0/100
Media attention level:
0.0/100

flood: recorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-09-01 22:23:04 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight:
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency:
10.0/100
Global seasonal prior:
100.0/100
Recent activity ratio:
50.0/100
Media attention level:
0.0/100

disease: recorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-03-12 12:33:08 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight:
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency:
10.0/100
Global seasonal prior:
30.0/100
Recent activity ratio:
50.0/100
Media attention level:
3.0/100

earthquake: recorded inputs

Not currently assessed · Model legacy

Computed: 2026-09-09 20:02:12 UTC · Valid until: Not recorded

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

Target scenario weight:
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency:
10.0/100
Global seasonal prior:
30.0/100
Recent activity ratio:
50.0/100
Media attention level:
0.0/100

air quality: recorded inputs

Current assessment · Model cfi-2

Computed: 2026-09-17 17:00:19 UTC · Valid until: 2026-09-17 19:00:19 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

baseline:
reporting days only
reporting Days:
59
seasonal:
global prior
selection:
top 100 countries by current records
frequency Unit:
episode records per reporting day

Observed activity: 14 · Target scenario weight: 0 · Target location: not determined; source country is a reference, not a target boundary

Target scenario weight:
0.0/100
Recorded activity frequency:
28.0/100
Global seasonal prior:
30.0/100
Recent activity ratio:
7.0/100
Media attention level:
0.0/100